Lars Karlsson: CapacityNow

Since a few years a group of futurist are looking at the potential next megatrends for the future. Already a few years ago American scientists published a report entitled “Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds.” Sincevthen the researchers have continued their work and these are some of  the conclusions so far. 

The studies of our future are full of both grim predictions and hopeful insights about the world that humans will inhabit within the next two decades. As an example, the researchers predicts and suggests that our demand for food will rise by 35% and water by 40% during the next 20 years. 
For now the scientists outline four mega-trends that are poised to create the greatest impact in the years to come in society, healthcare, government, and resources. 

Definition Megatrend

An important shift in the progress of a society or of any other particular field or activity; any major movement. 

Oxford Dictionary

Here’s what we can expect.

Individual empowerment

Over the next 15 to 20 years, continued giving from groups like the World Health Organization and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation will lift millions of people out of poverty, the report found, to the extent that the majority of the world’s population will no longer be impoverished.
This new wealth will produce millions more empowered individuals that will have the means to add to local and national economies.
The report hedged slightly, however, because more empowered people will also have greater access to lethal weapons and networks, which is “a capability formerly the monopoly of states.”
Diffusion of power

Developing countries in Asia will become more prominent world powers compared to North American and European nations.
“China alone will probably have the largest economy, surpassing that of the United States a few years before 2030,” the report explained. “In a tectonic shift, the health of the global economy increasingly will be linked to how well the developing world does — more so than the traditional West.”
In other words, having the most money or people won’t necessarily keep a country powerful if others are more adept at staying connected to data and resources.

Demographic patterns
A combination of widespread aging, falling fertility, and urbanization will lead to a dramatically different world in 2030.
With an expected 8.3 billion people, human civilization will be both older and much more focused on city life. Our infrastructure may improve, but our level of innovation and output will slow down without younger workers.

“Aging countries will face an uphill battle in maintaining their living standards,” the report stated.
It’s entirely possible, however, that within the next several decades, humanity will generate more urban construction than it has in the rest of its history.
Growing demand for food, water, and energy

A growing middle class and gains in empowerment will lead the demand for food to rise by 35%, water by 40%, and energy by 50%, government research suggested.
Regions with extreme weather patterns — like rain-soaked Singapore or muggy Mumbai — will get more extreme due to the effects of climate change. Dry areas such as northern Africa and the US Southwest will feel the effects of diminished precipitation especially hard.
We will still have enough resources to avoid energy scarcity by 2030; however, whether those resources include fracking or renewable forms like solar and wind is yet to be seen.
Source: WEF

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China’s smartphone masses splurge billions of dollars in an e-commerce bonanza on “Double 11”, billed as the world’s biggest one-day online shopping festival, also known as “Single’s Day”.

Last year $17.8 billion was taken in gross merchandise value over the full 24 hours on “Single’s Day”, up 32 percent from 2015 and roughly equal to the annual economic output of Mozambique:

China’s smartphone-wielding masses unleashed billions of dollars in e-commerce spending Saturday as they rushed to snap up bargains on “Singles Day” — billed as the world’s biggest one-day online shopping festival.

Read the article here: eCommerce Day:
Source: AFP